

4,785,269
What goes up will come down! As for how high up, who knows. I once had to take a loan the high teens for three points up front and a 15 year amortization. You have to do what you have to do when you have to do it. Anything in the single digits, with or without points is doable for most people,
-
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Buzz Mackintosh
Frederick, MD
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Ryan Huggins - Thousan...
Thousand Oaks, CA
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Richie Alan Naggar
Riverside, CA
-
Brenda Mayette
Glenville, NY
-
Brian England
Gilbert, AZ
4,239,270
My crystal ball stopped working a long time ago but I doubt they will ever go back down into the 2's again but then again the politicians do some unbelievable things, haha.
-
Steven Nickens
Wailea, HI
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Buzz Mackintosh
Frederick, MD
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Brenda Mayette
Glenville, NY
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
2,168,592
Regardless of how high or low the cost of money is, there is always a real estate market. People gotta sell, wanna buy and if interest rates are higher, the property prices will drop as the supply of inventory increases.
I am in today's small rural local market which is more cash than bank buyers so interest rates not such a worry. My first home loan was a 12.25% fixed one in a time of adjustable 16% and higher rates so you and I will survive anything that happens. Plan for the worse, hope for the best and just list, market, sell (repeat). Put all your effort into list, market sell (repeat) regardless of where rates are down the pike Philip A. Raices .
-
Steven Nickens
Wailea, HI
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Buzz Mackintosh
Frederick, MD
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Peter Mohylsky
Miramar Beach, FL
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Richie Alan Naggar
Riverside, CA
-
Brian England
Gilbert, AZ
-
Susan Emo
Kingston, ON
-
Michael Jacobs
Pasadena, CA
1,408,583
Recessions historically lower rates, I think (guessing) 6.25% is our ceiling and we'll see a drop eventually (see the graph Jason E. Gordon shared with me). Each grey line is a recession and see what rates are doing?!
-
Jason E. Gordon
San Diego, CA
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Richie Alan Naggar
Riverside, CA
-
Brian England
Gilbert, AZ
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
-
Thomas J. Nelson, REAL...
La Jolla, CA
3,114,152
I think they will back off some in 6 weeks. Banks don't make money without making loans. I see 5 ish
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Richie Alan Naggar
Riverside, CA
-
Brian England
Gilbert, AZ
-
Don Baker
Eatonton, GA
921,098
Going to keep going up and up.
When the public is weary of global warming, underserved population, Covid, supply chain, Ukraine, Putin, the admin still has the Monkey Pox card to play.
The admin will avoid accountability
Fed rate 3.1
Mortgage rate 9.25.
Yes it will go down to get out of the recession.
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Fred Griffin Florida R...
Tallahassee, FL
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Richie Alan Naggar
Riverside, CA
-
Brenda Mayette
Glenville, NY
-
Brian England
Gilbert, AZ
2,183,395
I am a really BAD guesser Philip A. Raices so you may want to use my advice and do the opposite. I'd say 6% and then The Donnald will get it down shortly after he takes office in 2024.
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
-
Kevin J. May
Hobe Sound, FL
1,984,476
I am smart enough to know I am not smart enough to know the answer to that question... and a lot of other questions too.
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Margaret Rome Baltimor...
Pikesville, MD
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
1,104,481
Guessing 7% to 9% and yes they will come down and go up and come down and go up...lol
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
335,200
I have no idea where they will land. Hopefully not where they did in the 80s
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Brian England
Gilbert, AZ
367,898
We are already in recession as of April 2022. Graph depends on the time frame. Rates the will come down in the future, but they will increase until we solve supply chain and oil prices. I wrote a numbers post on my personal blog not here with rates since 1971 verses each of the economic recessions America experienced. Most were determined by oil. Prior to 1971 is was war.
We aren't supposed to link to our own site I believe but give me a day and I will put it up on this site.
Philip A. Raices I wrote a blog post for you on my opinion/ answer despite how headachey the formatting is on AR
-
Steven Nickens
Wailea, HI
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
1,456,642
I'd like to see them back in the double digits. Of course they'll come back down eventually, everything is on a cycle of ups and downs.
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
3,209,629
My crystal ball was destroyed in the October 1989 earthquake.
It is what it is and will be what it will be. My role is to navigate, adjust, tweak, and realign as the world and real estate turn.
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
883,928
6.75
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Anna Banana Kruchten P...
Phoenix, AZ
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
7,303,084
Some of us were in the business when mortgage rates were in the 16% range. Our thoughts were that everything would be okay if they got back to 12%. Be thankful if rates do not go above the 6-7% range.
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
5,551,164
Who knows? Sure hope it hovers around where we are now, versus going up anymore.
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Brian England
Gilbert, AZ
604,201
A recession appears imminent (likely by year end). As a follow-up to the image shared by Thomas J. Nelson, REALTOR ® e-Pro CRS RCS-D Vets , here is some additional data. In short, rates will drop soon.
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Thomas J. Nelson, REAL...
La Jolla, CA
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Buzz Mackintosh
Frederick, MD
515,976
I think the way this Administration is doing things; the rates will increase well over 7% or higher. Good news is maybe we'll get back the 5% earnings in our Savings Account that we lost back in the 90's - LOL
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
3,476,429
It's so hot in Phoenix my crystal ball isn't working at the moment!
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
1,153,333
I should live so long Philip. I'm guessing they'll ebb & flow for the next 15 years between 6% and 9%. We could see 4% again when all is said and done but don't hold your breath.
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
2,719,290
A very telling point of what rising rates are intended to do is the tax rate. When this is added on to the now expensive monthly debt to purchase, it prices many people out of the purchasing market. To own or rent is becoming challenging and requires not one or two incomes but even more than that. What is of most concern is that fear is driving it all. That indicates a low confidence in USA leadership making people uneasy. How high will rates go? If they are trying to stop homeownership, lending and all the collateral related dynamics of the process, we are fast approaching that threshold. The resetting of it all will require a presidential election
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
1,920,785
That's a tough one.. we never expected rates to drop as low as they have in recent years, and yet there they were at almost "free money" rates for several years.
Back in the day, we saw double-digit interest rates, and not all that long ago.
I would think we haven't seen even close to the highest rates, yet. And we're not going to see a return to those low 3's, for many, many years.
-
Steve Higgins
Kelowna, BC
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
724,246
I predict that a top qualified buyer with 20% down on a conforming conventional loan will peak at 6.875% Rates will go way down and back up, rinse and repeat.
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
-
Richie Alan Naggar
Riverside, CA
567,656
With the current administration in place , the sky is the limit. However what goes up must come down.
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
637,541
The last few years were an anomaly with interest rates. A normal average over the past 50 years is over 6%. I think we will get back to those rates.
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
975,117
Guesstimate? I gotta creestol boll! 🔮
I honestly don't think it will be long, we may not see 3% again or for a good while, but I suspect we may see a downward adjustment in basis points in the coming year.
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
841,288
I've heard as high as 7.75%-8% by the end of the year so we'll see. I do think they'll come down to the 5s again.
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
108,729
Dear Active Rain Participants, Andrew, Thomas, Tammy, Joan, Annette, Wayne, Don, Brian and Tony
Thank you for your very interesting and varied answers. If and when we have a recession, I am very curious if the same trend in the past will hold true about rates going down during and following a recession. It makes common sense when no one is purchasing, and less are applying for mortgages, that like durable goods, cars etc. they will discount their interest rates or at least the Fed, assuming Jerome Powell will still be our Fed, will signal a lower discount rate and the banks and lending institutions will follow suit and only time will reveal the answers!
-
Nicholas Crane
Cadott, WI
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Doug Dawes
Georgetown, MA
868,012
Who knows? I've seen Prime at 21%, so nothing would surprise me. Don't think rates will go that high this time.
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
630,419
I wish I had not dropped my crystal ball. It was really useful in the past. 🤣
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
760,036
I don't think they will go into the double digits and yes I believe they will come back down at some point.
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
1,119,723
Anything posted here is a guess and the time in which one or another guess may be proved prescient is totally indeterminable.
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Joan Cox
Denver, CO
1,029,699
Beginning of the year my crystal ball didn't account for the fact that the Fed was immensely slow to act (what we saw coming in Q3-4 of last year they didn't acknowledge til Q2 of this year), nor that China would STILL be dealing with restrictive COVID measures.
That said, my forecast is that rates will peak mid 6's this summer (we're there now, considering many products in the low 6's require points) due to inflation metrics still being high, but come fall, inflation numbers will have dipped, economic numbers should be more realistic (and worse) than what we see today, unemployment will likely spike, and the realization of a recession takes hold.
And yes, rates will come down. The mortgages people are getting today are not the mortgages they'll have 12-24 months from now.
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
1,050,492
What Goes up must come down. but when is the answer I do not have..
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Shayne Stone
Fulshear, TX
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
5,961,950
We have seen high interest before and they will come down. No politicians want to see higher interest rates than are needed to help curb inflation.
-
Nicholas Crane
Cadott, WI
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
1,793,370
I'm gonna go with the graph & past trends.
-
John Juarez
Fremont, CA
-
Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND