"I'll Wait Until Rates Drop"
By Susan Isaacs, Real Estate Strategist, Washington DC | N Virginia Top Agent
(Compass)
“I’ll Wait Until Rates Drop.” The 5.9% PipedreamEvery real estate agent has heard some version of:“I think I'll wait until mortgage rates come down.”And recently:“They’re supposed to be back below 6% by the end of the year.”Ah. The 5.9% pipedream Fannie Mae started way back in September of 2025. Fannie forecast that the average 30-year mortgage rate would reach 5.9% in the fourth quarter of 2026. Well, here we are. And yesterday's rate was 7.12%.Of course, Fannie Mae revised its forecast more than once over that one-year period. Its fourth-quarter forecast was 6.8%. But that landed like a lead balloon. Corrections don't make as big a media splash as a first optimistic prediction.This isn't a post about economists being “wrong.” Mortgage rates depend on a ridiculous collection of moving...
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