

3,455,601
I guess that you did not hear that the current administration has redefined "recession" ... it no longer means 2 quarters of negative growth.
This is either fake news, misinformation, or disinformation.
My two cents - we are in for one wild ride. It will take a long time (no telling how long) to correct the damage being done to our country.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Thomas J. Nelson, REAL...
La Jolla, CA
-
Anna "Banana" Kruchten
Phoenix, AZ
-
Lynnea Miller
Bend, OR
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Ryan Huggins - Thousan...
Thousand Oaks, CA
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Bruce Walter
West Lafayette, IN
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Greg Large
Grove City, OH
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Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
1,550,110
We've been in an economic depression ever since we shut down the strongest economy in recorded history because of a flu with a 99.86% survival rate.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
-
Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
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John Meussner
Fair Oaks, CA
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Anna "Banana" Kruchten
Phoenix, AZ
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Lynnea Miller
Bend, OR
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Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
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Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
1,119,246
🔮 says 'better not tell you till after the midterms' LOL
THE GREAT FAKEOUT will remain for a while and if we could only PPV the demise of sooooo many grifters . . . it would wipe out the national debts of many countries. Fortunately, many of them are old enough to stare down their mortality.
Turn off the news and turn on your brains . . . you are right. Opportunities will abound for those with vision and COMMON SENSE.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
-
Anna "Banana" Kruchten
Phoenix, AZ
-
Lynnea Miller
Bend, OR
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Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
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Bruce Walter
West Lafayette, IN
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Carla Freund
Raleigh, NC
685,707
I do not agree with the description as "slight". No soft landing in sight when the people in charge of correcting it are in denial we are in a recession and without acknowledging this was entirely predictable and caused by their actions.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
-
Anna "Banana" Kruchten
Phoenix, AZ
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
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Peter Mohylsky,
Inlet Beach, FL
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Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
3,319,187
There is nothing slight about what is happening right now and no soft landings, Philip. Though gas prices have been reduced a small amount, it does not equate to the highest amount charged and food costs are outrageous! Russia and China are playing chess and the U.S. is on the sidelines in a losing strategy.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
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Lynnea Miller
Bend, OR
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Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
1,100,112
Since the Fed has said they expect a soft landing, and they've been wrong about literally everything, I think we'll see a very hard landing.
My opinion despite just being contrarian: We had the longest ever bull market and many, many companies hired and functioned while losing other people's cheap money. Now money is more expensive and less available, there has to be a reckoning. Inflation is still too high, and the covid response by the Biden administration handcuffed our economy with far too much spending and little attention to keeping the economy on track (aka allowing businesses to do business).
I think we've still got a ways to go down - the Fed JUST started to tighten things up, if they follow through with the 1.75 bump to rates they planned through the end of the year, things will be very rocky, especially once the jobs numbers start to get ugly.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
-
Lynnea Miller
Bend, OR
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Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
1,286,426
I don't really know since the economy is manipulated by a handful of master manipulators. I think we should watch what's happening around the world to see if alliances are being made to replace the dollar as the reserve currency.
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Lynnea Miller
Bend, OR
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
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Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
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Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
966,979
Hi Philip,
In the short term I don't see much changing concerning inflation, or a very deep recession as the Fed does not seem to have the appetite to raise the Fed Funds/Discount Rate steeply to approach the rate of inflation. The Fed has also been reluctant to use their Open Market Operations to aggressively sell a good chunk of the almost $9 trillion of government bonds they have on their balance sheet, thus sucking money out of the economy to reduce the inflation rate. I believe the inflation rate will remain a problem as long as the current administration keeps its current energy policy.
My concern is if the Congress does manage to repeal the Trump tax rate reductions and raise taxes before the election that could trigger a steep economic slowdown coupled with the high inflation. I think the only reason the economy isn't in a shambles is that many of the Dems in Congress know that the tax rate reductions in late 2017 has brought more money into American households and that is why the economy took off in 2018 and 2019 along with real wages.
I just feel for the working families that have to commute 20-40 miles a day (one way) to the factories in Lafayette with the high fuel prices and for our area farmers as diesel is off the charts! Money is tight in working class budgets, and choices are being made with their spending that will take months to show up in the broader economy that eventually leads to layoffs and higher unemployment.
We will get through this.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
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Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
945,531
It is too soon to say. We're in a place we've never been before. I do think we're in a recession already. Will there be a soft landing? Who knows. I think it will be a bit bumpy and unpredictable. The current administration has a lot of work to do to improve their standing before mid-terms and the 2024 election. So, I think there will be some ups and downs.
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
-
Lynnea Miller
Bend, OR
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
-
Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
1,649,769
We REALTORS* have conquered recessions, The Crash, The Pandemic, raging bull markets and a few angry bear markets... and I'm sure we've all weathered health issues and life problems during our careers too...
They can no longer throw anything at us we can't handle; stay the course and keep the faith, this too will become part of our resume's.
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
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Thomas J. Nelson, REAL...
La Jolla, CA
778,398
I believe we are in a recession - but how long this lasts will be dependent upon who gets elected and the policies enacted. When Reagan was elected, inflation was pretty bad. It required raising interest rates way up to get a handle on it - that and reducing regulations which spurred economic growth. Our current administration doesn't seem capable of doing this. Who is really making the decisions? I wish I knew.
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
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Candice A. Donofrio
Fort Mohave, AZ
5,314,821
I have not heard of companies layoff people in the Denver area, but sure it will happen if we do not have a correction in the ways things are done and now.
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
-
Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
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Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
5,579,448
I don't believe it's slight, nor do I believe we will land softly, Philip. It's a lot messier than we are being led to believe and with Biden at the helm, I have no confidence at all through 2024.
HOWEVER, like The Great Recession and the beginning of the pandemic and every other market shift in between, people will continue to need a place to live and we will continue selling houses through this recession as well.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
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Bruce Walter
West Lafayette, IN
2,884,284
I have noticed that everything in life gets a turn. The up and the down, the good and the bad, gain and loss, abundance and prosperity etc. Somehow, the scales of whatever is at work balance out. The trick is to observe and not react, to literally mind/mine our own business & wait for: This too shall pass
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Kathleen Daniels, Prob...
San Jose, CA
1,328,818
I don't think this will turn into a full blown. Inflation is more of a problem at this point in time. so hold on,
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Debe Maxwell, CRS
Charlotte, NC
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Wanda Kubat-Nerdin - W...
St. George, UT
5,596,126
We are in for a prolonged uncertainty. There is a difference between theoretical thinking and practical commonsense. And, at present the pendulum is in theoretical territory and not in reality.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
1,122,849
I hate to sound negative but I think things will get much worse before they start to get better. No one in the current administration seems to want to take ownership of this and do what is needed to reverse the damage that is being done. The outcome of the mid-terms will probably shed some light on how this will play out but the real turning point will be the 2024 election. I hope we can all hold out that long.
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Bob "RealMan" Timm
Minot, ND
152,701
I want to thank everyone for the comments concerning our inflation. we all had an opinion but only time will tell as to the eventual outcome. Unfortunately, our gov't is afraid to tell us the real truth as we will stop spending which is 70% of our economy, so they are forced not to tell us what is really going on, so it's a 2 edged sword, dammed if you do dammed if you don't!
2,579,405
IT WILL CRASH in my humble opinion Philip A. Raices . The printing of trillions of dollars with nothing to back it up will result in runaway inflation and heavy taxes. It may not hit hard for two or three years which will make it convenient for those who caused it to blame someone else.
799,439
We are heading into a bipolar economy in which the poor get poorer and the rich don't even know that there's a downturn.
934,320
6,805,806
Most of this issue exists in the writers toolbox as fox.
There are still many more jobs out there than there are workers, and any slowdown is intentional in an effort to curb inflation.