User28200_7_t Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer
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The US Market:

The U.S. financial crisis has shaken investor confidence in our. economy, and for good reason. After nearly a decade of excessive borrowing and lax financial regulation, the economy is in a painful credit crisis resulting in Bank failures, home foreclosures, credit card delinquencies. The credit crisis has brought the U.S. economy to a virtual standstill.

There is a growing sense of despair about America's economic future. The near-term health of the U.S. economy seems to be tied to the government's bailout package.  Americans are concerned about the nation's long-term health.

But let's reassess the prospects of the U.S. economy.  Factors that made the U.S. a strong economic force in the past are still strong and are part of what will bring the U.S. out of this mess.  The following list will help show why I think we will have a strong and promising economic future.

  • The U.S. has the Largest and Most Productive Economy in the World:  The U.S. accounts for 25% of global gross domestic product (GDP) and produces more output in a year (around $14 trillion) than the next four largest economies (Japan, China, Germany and the United Kingdom) combined.

  • The U.S. is the World's Leading Manufacture of Goods:  The U.S. is ranked number one in output.  America's share of global manufacturing output was 20.5% in 2006 (the latest year of available data).

  • The U.S. is the Largest Exporter of Goods and Services in the World:  The U.S. is a significant exporter of both goods and services.  When combined, America emerges as the world's top exporter with combined exports totaling $1.6 trillion in 2007, or 9.4% of total global trade.

  • The U.S. Remains the World's Top Destination for Foreign Direct investments:  The U.S. remains the most attractive market in the world for foreign investors.  FDI inflows to the U.S. totaled $1.3 trillion between 2000 and 2007.

  • America is the Home to the World's Top Global Brands:  More than half (52%) of the world's top 100 brands were American in 2008.

  • The U.S. Remains the World's Technology Leader:  The U.S. remains the most innovative economy in the world. That continues to attract the best and brightest from around the world to live and work here. America is the largest market in the world for information technology spending on hardware, software and services.

  • The U.S. has the Most Top-Ranked Universities in the World:  The best universities in the world are in the U.S.  Nearly 40% of the universities in the QS World Rankings' top 100 universities are found in the U.S.

  • The U.S. Dollar is Still the World's Top Reserve Currency:  The U.S. dollar remains the reserve currency of choice for many nations.

  • The U.S. Still has the Number 1 Military:  Military might is still critical, especially in a world where geo-strategic-economic flashpoints continue to simmer.  U.S. military expenditures have increased sharply during the past few years due to the Iraq and Afghanistan conflict.

  • The U.S. Ranks Number One in Global Competitiveness:  Based on the latest competitiveness survey from the World Economic Forum, the U.S. ranks as the world's most competitive economy.

What does this mean for us Americans?

The U.S. right now does not have a perfect economy with our credit market in turmoil.  America's crumbling physical infrastructure, unwieldy healthcare system and debtor nation status require immediate attention.  Still, the U.S. remains the most competitive economy in the world.  The economical building blocks still remain quite strong.  As the Credit Market heals, so will the Real Estate market, the job market, manufacturing and hopefully we will be back in a strong economic market in the near future.

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Alan 'AJ' Nisen
Mortgage Loan Officer
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9 Comments on Does The US Market Have a Strong Economic Future?

  • The U.S. has the Largest and Most Productive Economy in the World: 
  • But, we buy more than we sell.

  • The U.S. is the World's Leading Manufacture of Goods: 
  • But, we give away more than we sell.

  • The U.S. is the Largest Exporter of Goods and Services in the World: 
  • But, we still import identical poisoned and defective goods from outside.

     

  • The U.S. Remains the World's Top Destination for Foreign Direct investments: 
  • Because they know that we won't let them lose any money, ala Bailout.

  • America is the Home to the World's Top Global Brands: 
  • Which many countries boycott because of barriers, tariffs, boycotts, etc.

  • The U.S. Remains the World's Technology Leader: 
  • Built by preferance immigration schemes to bring cheap IT workers.

  • The U.S. has the Most Top-Ranked Universities in the World: 
  • But, we give preferencial entrance to foreign students.

  • The U.S. Dollar is Still the World's Top Reserve Currency: 
  • For a few weeks.

  • The U.S. Still has the Number 1 Military: 
  • With which we fight wars of attrition and sacrifice our men and women and refuse to use our weapony for fear of upsetting the world. 

  • The U.S. Ranks Number One in Global Competitiveness: 
  • I don't know what that mean.

    10/02/2008 03:05 PM by Lenn Harley Homefinders.com MD & VA Real Estate


    Lenn, interesting spin.  Every one has a different point of view with the same facts.  At least at the moment, I wanted to take a positive position on our future.  AJ

    10/02/2008 03:27 PM by Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)


    AJ, all I will say is I am so upset right now with the gutless worms in Congress, I need a few days. I appreciate what you are doing, but this step forward to socialism is not good.

    10/03/2008 01:56 PM by Missy Caulk-Ann Arbor- Realtor(R)- Ann Arbor Real Estate (Keller Williams-Ann Arbor)


    Missy, personally I am against what our legislative bodies and the president just did.  I liked Jessica H. answer: "Hell No!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!".   If I make a mistake, I own up to it and pay for it myself no matter how hard I have to work or what I have to give up.  I think Wall Street has been living too good and has forgotten what it is like to work in the trenches.  AJ

    10/03/2008 05:50 PM by Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)


    the only thing I can say is that for all the complaining people do, they seem to stay here and work here. If there is somewhere better than tell me and I will move. The fact is there is not!

    10/11/2008 01:17 AM by James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com)


    James, the market goes up, it goes down.  All we can really can do is provide good service, build relationships, and move with the market.  We will get out of this. AJ

    10/11/2008 11:05 AM by Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)


    AJ,  Why the bailout?  Because all the money that seems to have disappeared from the banks and bank accounts of the mass population has been absorbed by Big Business, Wall Street, Oil Companies and deposited into the accounts of a few (probably no longer employed CEO's) - Didn't Chevron just post a 15 Billion Dollar Profit for last quarter?

     

     

    11/04/2008 03:11 PM by Steve Laird Bay Area New Home Sales Specialist (William Lyon Homes)


    Steve, I was not in favor of the bailout, especially in the form that congress implemented.  I understand that there is a credit crisis but they put $750B out there with very little checks and balances.  The Oil Companies are another issue, how they grease the pollitical machinery to create special tax loop holes.  The are really not part of the credit crisis/bail out. 

    11/04/2008 05:43 PM by Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)


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    Loan Officer: Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)
    Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer
    Lafayette, CA
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    AJ, as part of the Active Rain family, uses this forum to discuss issues that affect the Real Estate market, all aspects of Mortgages, Loans and refinancing, to build working relationships and friendships. AJ’s conversations include such topics as, the sub prime lending fallout, mortgage market changes, and localism (revitalizing downtowns, business growth, community volunteerism and events)

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