User41573_1_t Howard Bell
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  Secty of the Treasury Paulson said then that Washington would buy up shares in the two companies and underwrite their ballooning debt ($800bln). The two companies have lent or underwritten about $5.3 trillion of the total $12tn of all outstanding mortgage debt. Something like 4 million homes or 9% of all existing mortgages were behind or in foreclosure

McCain gave it his immediate backing but Obama said he would reserve judgment. Obama said " We have to protect taxpayers and not bail out the shareholders and management". Obama focuses on a good point, its not just the real estate industry that tanks on this but all those 401K programs funded with Fannie and Freddie stock. Its just a shame.

Whats the Strategy

The move will also replace the chief executives of both Fannie and Freddie. The stocks were up modestly on the news, meaning that investors have voted up, but certainly are lacking enthusiasm. The Treasury will buy up to $100 billion in each company to ensure a cash infusion and maintain a positive net worth. It will also buy mortgage-backed securities from the firms in the open market. Hopefully that will put a floor under the shares....its not possible for them to go completely belly up or get de-listed.

One of the problems that led to the Govt taking it into conservatorship was an accounting trick that was unacceptable. Normally, assets of these two companies were marked to the market every 90 days. Meaning that the asset was given a fairly current and accurate value. Fannie and Freddie changed the rules and decided to mark to the market every two years trying to wait out the crises without having to admit they my be insolvent and further freaking us out. The bottom line is they didnt have the capital base they claimed they had and couldnt continue to buy loans to keep other lenders in the game.

When big banks make home loans, they sell them to Fannie and Freddie, who then package and resell them to investors, or hold them themselves. Now there will be tens of thousands more loans in question...even more defaults and foreclosures then we thought.

Global Problem Now

The rise of the securitization market means some of the most debt securities backed by riskier loans have made their way around the global banking system. That is why this is a global problem. The American financial system was once rock solid and we drew investors from around the globe. Now its different. For example, the Bank of China said in late August that it cut back its portfolio of the Fannie and Freddie's debt by about one quarter since the end of June. The US had little choice after discovering the accounting smoke screen. After all, this is the reputation of the US Govt and its solvency cannot be put in doubt.

Thanks for Reading

Howard Bell

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8 Comments on Biggest Financial Bailout in US History

I just wish we could get a bailout. We got blamed for selling houses to under qualified clients. I think our industry is just the door mat...

09/07/2008 02:40 PM by Paul Henderson (RE/MAX Professionals)


This is a paramount issue to all of us. Without securitization we are in trouble.

They must keep these institution running and clean them up.

The stock holders get wiped out and if you can imagine with 20 -1 leverage there is no equity.

Richard

09/07/2008 04:03 PM by Richard Stabile Bergen County New Homes Builder Realtor (REMAX real estate associates)


 I remember reading that in the 1970's there were many bank signs hung that said "no more mortgages". It wasnt a given that a bank would have money to lend. Either securitzation wasnt full steam or non-existant.

Anyone out there have any experience with this?

Thanks

Howard

 

Regarding Richard Stabiles remark: I agree...but the question no one seems to be asking is does the Govt have any money really?

09/07/2008 04:56 PM by Howard Bell (www.yourpropertypath.com)


Howard:

The government issues treasury debt to raise money and they just print it. This has a negative effect on the dollar against other currency. Basically it dilutes the dollar.

As to the 70's, many states had a usury rate on mortgages. In 1974 New Jersey was 9% and the national rate was 9.5 % therefore no mortgages were being written. They later lifted this rule. However, in the late 70's to 81 rates went to as high as 21%. This was do to massive credit tightening to lick stag flation as they called it. Fed Chairman Volker did an unprecedented move to kill inflation. Many banks were unable to fund in this tight credit market.

However, the lowering of rates later fueled the bull swing of the 80's in stocks, bonds and real estate.  The pendulum swung.

I hope this helps.

Richard

09/07/2008 05:27 PM by Richard Stabile Bergen County New Homes Builder Realtor (REMAX real estate associates)


Thank you, Richard

and now that the bull to bust swing of stocks has led to a bull to bust swing in property. Do we get one more swing? :)

09/07/2008 06:30 PM by Howard Bell (www.yourpropertypath.com)


Howard, there is always another swing, but from where is the question.

This credit crisis is the worst since the great depression.

I hope it gets over soon, it is wearing on us all.

Richard

09/07/2008 06:38 PM by Richard Stabile Bergen County New Homes Builder Realtor (REMAX real estate associates)


Howard,  The Great Money Grab is on again. Do you think that they might of had a problem before it got to the 800bn mark?  It does make one sick to know what is really going on.  Off Shore banks are looking for the big transfers.  Where do you think all of the total money is located, it did not just go into outer space.  The liberal RePugs just get a little fatter.

09/07/2008 08:11 PM by Don Eichler (Eichler Properties)


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Property Manager: Howard Bell (www.yourpropertypath.com)
Howard Bell
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