User101594_6_t James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker)
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For years , we have all heard the so-called experts refer to the explosion in home buying and resultant rise in  home prices as a real estate bubble.

The rise in home prices from (roughly) 2001 - 2005 was unprecedented. The consumer percentage of homeownerhsip was unprecedented.

About 3 years ago, the Real Estate Bubble Burst! or did it ?  real estate housing bubble burst

I would argue no, the real estate bubble did not burst. In fact, it is leaking air. and herein lies the problem. 

Unlike, stocks and other investments. When a correction occurs, it happens (in most cases) much more dramatically. A stock market crash is on example.

However, real estate happens much more slowly. Many emotions are tied to real estate. Sellers do not just come in and take 30% of the listing price of their home. People reduce prices a (very) little at a time. Unless it is a short sale or foreclosed home. In which case, the home usually sells quickly.

Yesterday, the NAR reported a surprising rise in the sales of existing homes in July, surpassing expectations.  However, this was a result of buyers picking up homes at discounted pricing.

Clearly, consumers do want to buy real estate. The buyers just want better pricing.  If the housing bubble actually burst , we would already by at a bottom.

Instead, we have to wait until all the air leaks out ever to slowly.  - wexzilla

 

 
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9 Comments on Real Estate bubble did not burst it is leaking air

Eloquently put, James.

Sales were up 4% here in July, at 3,800 homes sold, but prices were down something like 17% I think it was.

08/26/2008 11:22 AM by Jim Frimmer, San Diego Realtor (Century 21 Award)


Jim - the good news is that buyers are out there. the bad news is the time it takes for real estate prices to adjust

08/26/2008 11:38 AM by James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com)


james - it would be less painful to just 'rip the band-aid off' and deal with the pain and be over with, then watching this slow torture

08/26/2008 11:58 AM by Mike DelVero (Liberty One Lending)


james - Phoenix has been down more than 27% per the report -- that does not include previous years - i am seeing activity and other signs we are at or near a bottom

08/26/2008 12:06 PM by Jason Mitchell (Coldwell Banker)


James, the bubble bursting is so relative to the area of the country. For example in Texas we never had a big appreciation in prices so there was no bubble to burst.

08/26/2008 03:45 PM by Gary Woltal - REALTORĀ® Dallas Ft. Worth (Keller Williams Realty)


Gary - I agree , we have it especially bad in Phoenix and most parts of the west. I understand Texas has not had the same housing problems. I am glad. It is sad for homeowners to lose so much net worth in their homes and people falling out of their profession (mortgage & real estate)

08/26/2008 04:14 PM by James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com)


This makes sense....I do think that its a leak, but not a true pop of the bubble.

08/26/2008 04:44 PM by Larry Bettag - Cherry Creek Mortgage


I agree with slow leaking.  I think it could have burst, but they keep putting their fingers on each leak. 

08/26/2008 11:49 PM by Phoenix Arizona Real Estate ~ Doreen McPherson (Keller Williams Arizona Realty ~ Scottsdale ~ Tempe)


a bursting of the proverbial bubble would have saved 3 difficult years. However, real estate just does not work that way

08/27/2008 12:09 AM by James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com)


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Real Estate Agent: James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com)
James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker)
Scottsdale, AZ
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wexzilla.com

Cell Phone: (480) 221-8080
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rants, ravings, musings and market commentary Scottsdale|Greater Phoenix Real estate


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